The world grappled with hard lessons during Donald Trump’s first term as U.S. president, shaping foreign-policy discourse. As the possibility of a second term hovers, there is a growing realization that Trump and his advisors, known for their tenacity, departed the White House with a nuanced comprehension of Canada’s pivotal relationship with the United States.
Canada’s envoy in Washington, Kirsten Hillman, affirmed this perspective. “Yeah, I think so—I do,” she stated.
One notable event was the challenging 18-month renegotiation of NAFTA, where Canada proved a formidable adversary, even surprising Trump, the self-proclaimed champion dealmaker. Additionally, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 revealed the depth of Canada’s importance to the U.S. As movement restrictions were imposed on the border, it took less than a day for the implications to become evident.
Hillman emphasized the intricate integration between the two nations, stating, “We are integrated and mutually supportive to a degree that was fully appreciated during the pandemic.” Daily conversations with senior members of Trump’s White House COVID-19 task force underscored the collaborative efforts regarding supply chains, vaccine development, and securing personal protective equipment.
Despite export restrictions imposed by Trump on crucial commodities like gloves and surgical masks, Canada and Mexico were exempted, highlighting the mutual recognition of interdependence. Hillman noted, “They need us, but we need them,” suggesting a newfound depth in the relationship.
This nuanced understanding has positioned Canada strategically, providing a head start in outreach efforts with former officials, U.S. lawmakers, and potential influencers in the event of a second Trump presidency. According to Hillman, a more robust policy and transition apparatus has been developed around Trump, resembling the conventional approach with other candidates and parties.
Hillman’s primary strategy involves ensuring decision-makers across the U.S., at every level of government, comprehend the impact of Canada on their lives. The success of this approach is evident in the formation of the American Canadian Economy and Security caucus, a bipartisan coalition of lawmakers recognizing the economic ties between the two nations.
As the U.S. approaches an election year, Hillman sees this as a favorable position. “To be in this place now, as we head into an election year in the United States, is a good position to be in,” she remarked. The focus remains on presenting the Canadian perspective on various issues of mutual interest, including trade, defense, transportation, and agriculture.
Energy policy, a prominent theme for a potential second Trump presidency, was emphasized by Hillman. She highlighted Canada as the largest and most secure energy supplier for the U.S. across all areas of energy production, emphasizing a commitment to collaboration: “‘We will always be here for you.'”
In the intricate dance of diplomacy, Canada aims to convey a deeper understanding of its importance to the United States, navigating a path of collaboration that transcends political transitions.
