Two recent surveys have brought potential changes to the 2024 presidential race, indicating a slight lead for Joe Biden over Donald Trump.
In a poll conducted by Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet Research, reported by Newsweek on May 3, 2024, 44 percent of likely voters expressed support for Biden compared to 39 percent for Trump. The inclusion of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. showed a tie between Biden and Trump at 44 percent each among all voters. The poll was conducted from April 26 to April 28, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.
A separate Reuters/Ipsos poll among 856 registered voters until April 28 revealed Biden with 40 percent support and Trump with 39 percent, a narrower lead than in previous polls. Trump’s campaign was contacted for comment on these findings by Newsweek.
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However, it’s essential to note that other recent polls, such as one by CNN and SSRS and another by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult, show Trump leading in certain key swing states.
Thomas Gift, from the Centre on U.S. Politics at University College London, cautioned against overinterpreting polls at this stage, emphasizing the close competition nationally and in crucial swing states.
The political landscape also involves complex dynamics with foreign leaders, where Biden’s camp sees benefits in aligning with certain policies but faces political challenges. Trump’s allies view diplomatic engagements as a validation of his comeback potential and a strategic move amid ongoing legal battles.
As the race progresses, these polls highlight the closely contested nature of the 2024 presidential election and the importance of key swing states in determining the outcome.
