GOP strategist Susan Del Percio has sounded the alarm, foreseeing the likelihood of the Republican Party relinquishing control of the House of Representatives in the pivotal 2024 elections. Del Percio, known for her association with influential figures such as Rudy Giuliani, attributed this risk primarily to a recent districting ruling in New York.
The Republican Party has been precariously clutching to its majority in the House since the 2022 midterm elections, where their performance fell short of expectations. This fragile majority has since faced a downward spiral, exacerbated by events such as the expulsion of New York Republican Representative George Santos, who faced allegations of falsehoods and improprieties.
Compounding the challenges for the GOP are the retirements of key figures, including former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. The absence of these influential figures is expected to pose a significant hurdle in the party’s efforts to maintain its majority in the House come 2024.
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During an appearance on MSNBC on Sunday, December 17, Del Percio expressed her concerns, stating, “Come January 1st, there is going to be a two-seat majority for Republicans, and they need every vote they can get.” Casting doubt on the party’s ability to retain control, she highlighted that three out of the six districts are highly competitive, with two likely to flip, thereby fundamentally altering the political landscape.
The recent ruling by the New York State Supreme Court, mandating a redraw of the state’s congressional district boundaries, adds a layer of complexity to the GOP’s predicament. Observers widely anticipate that Democrats will leverage this opportunity to shift the balance, potentially gaining control of two to six Republican-led districts. Such a strategic move could reverse the gains made by the GOP in traditionally Democratic strongholds during the last midterms.
The issue of gerrymandering, a practice manipulating political maps to favor a particular party, has further challenged Republicans in various states, including New Mexico. Despite efforts to reshape congressional maps, setbacks arising from court orders have hampered these endeavors. Moreover, the current congressional session has been marred by low productivity, scandals, and internal discord, fueling predictions of voter discontent with GOP leadership.
In the face of these multifaceted challenges, serious doubts loom over the Republican Party’s ability to retain control of the House of Representatives in the upcoming 2024 election cycle. The confluence of districting issues, key retirements, and internal strife paints a daunting picture for the GOP’s prospects on the political stage.
