As the Israel-U.S-backed conflict against Hamas escalates, Muslim American and Arab American leaders in crucial swing states are warning President Joe Biden that his handling of the situation in Gaza and rising Islamophobia at home could cost him significant support in the upcoming 2024 election.
In the 2020 election, Muslim Americans overwhelmingly supported Biden, making their potential shift in allegiance a matter of concern for the Democratic Party. Leaders in battleground states, where Biden secured narrow victories, have voiced their dissatisfaction with his response to the crisis, putting his electoral prospects at risk. These leaders have indicated that some Muslim American and Arab American voters are considering abstaining from voting, opting for write-in or third-party candidates, or leaving the presidential choice blank.
Although Muslims represent a minority in the U.S., they constitute a significant portion of the population in key battleground states, making their collective decision influential in swinging an election. For example, in Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota, where Biden’s margins of victory were slim, Muslim Americans could play a pivotal role in shaping the electoral outcome.
Critics argue that Biden’s approach to the conflict, including his support for Israel and limited condemnation of civilian casualties in Gaza, has alienated Muslim American and Arab American communities. The frustration is amplified by the significant funds allocated to military efforts, raising concerns about misplaced priorities amid a global crisis.
Wa’el Alzayat, CEO of Emgage, the largest Muslim American voter turnout organization, expressed concerns that Biden’s mismanagement of the issue might lead voters to disengage from the democratic process, potentially allowing Republicans, and even former President Donald Trump, to regain power.
While Biden’s administration emphasizes its commitment to engaging with Muslim American and Arab American communities, some activists argue that these efforts are insufficient. Muslim American leaders have requested a more balanced approach that acknowledges the humanity of Palestinian civilians and promotes dialogue for a peaceful resolution.
In response to the growing discontent, the White House has attempted to strike a balance by supporting Israel while calling for restraint and humanitarian aid for Gaza. However, these efforts have not fully appeased concerned communities, leaving the Biden administration with the challenge of winning back the trust of Muslim Americans.
As the 2024 election looms, Biden’s ability to address the grievances of Muslim American and Arab American voters will likely shape their political decisions. The President’s approach to the ongoing conflict and his response to the concerns raised by these communities will be critical factors in determining whether he can secure their support in the upcoming election.