Voters may not have to endure a long wait after Election Day this year to learn who the next president will be. Unlike the 2020 election, when it took nearly five days for major news outlets to announce a winner, this year’s process could be quicker, thanks to changes in state policies and a projected decline in mail-in voting.
Historically, Americans have become accustomed to rapid race calls, typically receiving results by late Tuesday or early Wednesday after elections. However, the COVID-19 pandemic significantly altered the voting landscape in 2020, leading to a historic rise in mail-in voting. Over 43% of all votes were cast by mail, compared to just 25% in previous elections. This unprecedented increase overwhelmed many state election offices, causing delays.
Changes in State Policies
Experts believe that modifications in state policies since the last election could expedite the counting process this year. Quinn Yeargain, an associate professor of law at Michigan State University, expressed optimism, stating, “Things will be different this year. It may not be as quick as 2022… but I would be surprised if the process took as long as it did in 2020.”
State laws have evolved, allowing for more pre-election ballot processing. Almost all states now permit election officials to handle mail-in ballots before Election Day, including verifying signatures, sorting envelopes, and preparing ballots for scanning. This means that the processing time will likely decrease, leading to faster results.
What to Expect on Election Night
Despite the expected improvements, it’s important to note that results may still not be available immediately on election night. Chris Mann, the research director for the Center for Election Innovation & Research, highlighted that close races could complicate the situation. With polls indicating a neck-and-neck race, the task for media outlets to call results may still take some time, especially if states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are key to the final outcome, as they do not allow early ballot processing.
The Role of Mail-In Voting
Mail-in voting could still play a crucial role this year, with millions of ballots already cast. Although the pandemic’s grip has loosened, Republicans seem to be embracing mail-in voting more than in previous years, potentially influencing the election dynamics. As mail-in ballots begin to be counted, their impact on the election results will be closely monitored.
Potential Challenges Ahead
Analysts are cautious, as a close election might lead to heightened tensions and disputes. Pete Seat, a University of Arizona instructor and former White House spokesperson, emphasized the need for patience. “The closer the election is and the longer it takes to find out… half the country is going to be displeased,” he said. Misinformation surrounding the voting process could further complicate public perceptions and lead to disputes over results.
