Recent polling indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris has taken a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump in Michigan, a crucial battleground state for the upcoming election. According to a Quinnipiac University poll released on October 23, 2024, Harris now holds a 3-point advantage, garnering 49% support from likely voters compared to Trump’s 46%.
This new data marks a shift from an earlier Quinnipiac poll earlier in the month, which showed Trump leading Harris by 3 percentage points, with 50% support against her 47%. The latest survey suggests a notable change in voter sentiment as the election draws closer.
Key Demographics and Issues
The poll highlights significant differences in support among various demographics. Notably, 57% of surveyed women expressed support for Harris, while only 37% backed Trump. Conversely, Trump fared better among men, receiving 56% support compared to Harris’s 40%.
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When it comes to handling key issues, respondents indicated that Trump is perceived as better equipped to manage topics such as the economy, immigration, and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. However, when discussing issues like abortion, preserving democracy, and national security risks, voters favored Harris.
Honesty and Favorability Ratings
Voter perceptions of honesty also emerged as a significant factor in the poll. 46% of likely voters stated they believe Harris is honest, while 48% disagreed. In comparison, only 39% felt Trump is honest, with 59% indicating he is not.
In terms of overall favorability, Harris’s ratings are balanced, with 48% viewing her favorably and unfavorably. Trump, on the other hand, has a favorability rating of 46%, with 52% of respondents viewing him unfavorably.
Poll Details
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted from October 17 to 21, surveying 1,136 likely voters in Michigan, and carries a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. These findings may serve as a critical indicator as both candidates prepare for the upcoming election, emphasizing the dynamic nature of voter preferences in this pivotal state.
As the campaign intensifies, the insights from this poll underscore the importance of targeting key issues and demographics in Michigan, which could ultimately influence the outcome of the presidential race.
