The latest Wall Street Journal poll reported by NewsMax on December 9, 2023, former President Donald Trump has taken the lead over incumbent President Joe Biden. This marks a significant shift in the hypothetical 2024 presidential race, with Trump leading by 4 points in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters.
The poll, conducted by GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio and Democrat pollster GBAO Strategies, indicates a decline in President Biden’s approval rating, with only 37% of registered voters approving and a record-high 61% disapproving. This dissatisfaction has paved the way for Trump’s lead, which expands to 6 points in a broader field of candidates.
The survey challenges earlier notions that third-party and independent candidates could provide a buffer for Biden against Trump. Fabrizio notes, If this race is about policy and performance, then Donald Trump has a significant advantage.
The public’s perception of policies is a key factor, with only 23% feeling personally helped by Biden’s policies, compared to 53% who feel directly hurt. In contrast, respondents view Trump’s policies more favorably, with around half indicating they were helped compared to 37% who felt harmed during his administration.
The poll also explores the 2024 presidential election scenario, revealing Trump leading at 37%, followed by Biden at 31%. Independent candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy, Cornel West, and third-party candidates like Jill Stein and Lars Mapstead, trail behind.
Within the GOP presidential primary field, Trump dominates with a commanding 59%, leaving potential rivals like Governor Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley far behind. This data suggests a dynamic political landscape as the 2024 election approaches.
